Friday saw two major developments at
the UN. First, the Security Council adopted resolution S/RES/2059
(2012) that extends the mandate of the UN Supervision Mission in
Syria (UNSMIS) for thirty days without any other provisions. If you
ask me, this is probably the worst possible decision. Even doing
nothing would have been better in my opinion. The Syrian opposition
has classified UNSMIS as ineffectual and useless, which is not
surprising. Humanitarian law experts from the Red Cross, to the UN
Human Rights Council, to Secretary-General have classified the
situation in Syria as an internal armed conflict. Following the
assassination of several ranking government officials, neither side
seems willing to back down, or to be in a position where they could
back down even if they wanted to do so. Wednesday's bombing in
Damascus makes increasingly clear that Syria will almost certainly be
in a state of all-out civil war for at least the next twelve months.
In that context, you have to ask
yourself what good can three hundred unarmed observes do in a war
zone covering almost a hundred and eighty thousand square kilometres.
The mission's purpose was to supervise the implementation of Kofi
Annan's peace plan, which Annan himself has declared a failure. It
makes you wonder why all members of the Security Council (2059 was
adopted unanimously) are so eager to renew this mission.
In terms of other military options, a
Libyan style intervention is neither feasible politically nor
advisable strategically. In the case of Libya, the government's trump
card was the use its air force, an advantage easily negated by the
imposition of a no-fly zone. In the case of Syria however, the
problem is the government's use of tanks, artillery and other heavy
weapons, which are not easily stopped from the air alone. The only
strategically viable option I can think of is something resembling
what UNPROFOR was supposed to do in Bosnia, and we all know what a
disaster that was.
On the non-military, economic
sanction, in particular a rigorous arms embargo, on both sides, would
hopefully take the edge of the conflict as the belligerents would
begin to run out of ammunition. Of course this will never happen. The
BRICS country's are to invested in their arms trade with the Syria
government, Turkey and Saudi Arabia, backed by the US, being heavily
involved in arming the opposition. Russia in particular has a vested
interest in keeping Bashar al-Assad in power. With a NATO member, in
the form Turkey, controlling the Bosporus and the Dardanelles,
Russia's naval base in Syria is its only direct access to the
Mediterranean Sea.
All that considered, my opinion is
that the best of the few viable options for the UN is to do nothing,
terrible as it may sound. Once a conflict has gotten this far, there
is stopping, and with opposing interests at stake, accelerating its
course to one outcome or another is not feasible. Meaning, any
serious intervention on the part of the UN would only unnecessarily
jeopardise lives, without any significant impact.
The other major development on Friday
was the final judgement ICJ in Question Relating to the Obligation
to Prosecute or Extradite (Belgium v. Senegal).
In stark contrast to the negative decisions of the Security Council
on Syria, I can only describe the judgement as a positive outcome.
The concerns former Chadian dictator Hissène Habré, who is
currently residing in Senegal.
I'll
begin with a bit of background information. Habré came to power in
Chad in 1982 as the head of a coup d'état, only to be ousted by a
coup himself in 1990. He is accused of political repression, using
torture and forced disappearances during his time in office. It's not
without reason he has been nicknamed the African Pinochet. Following
his fall from power, Habré fled to Senegal, where he has been
living ever since.
After a failed attempt to bring him to trial in
Senegal in 2000, several Chadian exiles instituted criminal
proceedings against him Belgium under the passive personality laws.
These laws say for the most serious crimes under international,
namely genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity, Belgian
courts have jurisdiction if the alleged perpetrator or victim is a
citizen or a resident of Belgium. In the case of Hissène Habré,
this law is further internationally by the UN Convention against
Torture (CAT).
The
courts judgement begins with a number of procedural questions. First
it evaluates Senegal's claim that there is no dispute between Belgium
and Senegal on this question. Given that several Belgian extradition
requests, backed by an INTERPOL red-notice, have been declined, and
that since 2000 no Senegalese court has dealt with the matter
internally, the Court comes to the obvious conclusion that this claim
is patently absurd. Next it considers other question surrounding the
Court's jurisdiction in this case. It finds that it doesn't have
jurisdiction to consider Belgium's claims under customary
international law, but does have jurisdiction to evaluate question
relating to the CAT.
The
final procedural question considered by the court is the
admissibility of Belgium's claim, and this is where it gets gets
particularly interesting. The court finds that Belgium's claim is
admissible simply because it is party to the Convention against
Torture: “[T]he Court concludes that Belgium, as a state party to
the Convention against Torture, has standing to invoke the
responsibility of Senegal for the alleged breaches of its obligations
under...the Convention in present proceedings.” It goes on to state
that whatever particular right Belgium may in the proceedings is
therefore not relevant.
This
is particularly powerful, because it means that Senegal has breached
its international obligations, not only towards Belgium, but towards
every other State party to CAT. This means that there are now some
145 countries with a right, maybe even an obligation, to demand that
Senegal bring Hissène Habré to trial, or extradite him to another
country for that purpose.
Finally,
the court evaluates the substantive merits of the case, and comes to
the natural conclusion that Senegal has an obligation to prosecute or
extradite Hissène Habré and that its reason for not doing so are
insufficient under international law:
“The
Court...unanimously finds that
the Republic of Senegal must, without further delay, submit the case
of Mr. Hissène Habré to its competent authorities for the purpose
of prosecution, if it does not extradite him.”